Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ +550 TENN -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +5 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -13.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -12.9 (+7.9) | 146.7 (-7.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -11.2 (+6.2) | 146.4 (-7.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -12.6 (+7.6) | 146.0 (-7.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -14.4 (+9.4) | 146.5 (-7.5) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MIZ 73 – 69 TENN |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TENN 85 – 81 MIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | MIZ 79 – 71 TENN |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MIZ 86 – 85 TENN |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TENN 80 – 61 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-11 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L19 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#142) | 18.8 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#207) | 2.84 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#181) | 3.60 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#224) | 0.645 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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