Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ +160 TENN -192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -6.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.9 (+8.9) | 143.1 (-1.1) | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.0 (+8.0) | 143.0 (-1.0) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.2 (+8.2) | 142.2 (-0.2) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -3.4 (+7.4) | 142.3 (-0.3) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2025 | TENN 85 – 81 MIZ |
| Feb 21, 2024 | TENN 72 – 67 MIZ |
| Mar 10, 2023 | MIZ 79 – 71 TENN |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MIZ 86 – 85 TENN |
| Feb 23, 2022 | TENN 80 – 61 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#55) | 19.5 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#46) | 3.13 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#51) | 4.14 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#65) | 0.611 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 42.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 15.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 45.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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