Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP +120 LT -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +18 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -2.1 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -2.1 (-20.1) | 140.5 (-12.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -1.1 (-19.1) | 138.9 (-10.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -2.0 (-20.0) | 141.9 (-13.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -1.7 (-19.7) | 140.6 (-12.6) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LT 69 – 59 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LT 75 – 63 UTEP |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LT 76 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UTEP 70 – 60 LT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LT 65 – 59 UTEP |
Game Analysis
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