Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | NE -200 JMU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +7 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -5.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -4.3 (-11.3) | 139.4 (+11.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -5.8 (-12.8) | 138.6 (+12.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -6.2 (-13.2) | 137.9 (+13.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -6.6 (-13.6) | 140.1 (+10.9) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2022 | JMU 76 – 71 NE |
| Jan 12, 2022 | JMU 89 – 66 NE |
| Jan 23, 2021 | NE 72 – 63 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 13-7 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 8-2 |
| Home | 5-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#138) | -0.9 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#96) | -0.44 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#117) | -0.63 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#28) | 0.494 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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