Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | NE -125 JMU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -0.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -0.3 (-4.7) | 142.2 (+4.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -0.4 (-5.4) | 146.1 (+0.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -0.5 (-5.5) | 147.1 (-0.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -0.2 (-4.8) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2022 | JMU 89 – 66 NE |
| Jan 24, 2021 | JMU 79 – 72 NE |
| Jan 23, 2021 | NE 72 – 63 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 0-12 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#272) | -2.5 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#261) | 0.08 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#256) | -0.31 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#288) | 0.497 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.