Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +23 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -6.3 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -4.9 (+18.1) | 135.3 (+19.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -5.0 (+18.0) | 138.1 (+16.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -5.0 (+18.0) | 137.5 (+17.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -5.4 (+17.6) | 135.5 (+19.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2022 | JMU 76 – 71 NE |
| Jan 24, 2021 | JMU 79 – 72 NE |
| Jan 23, 2021 | NE 72 – 63 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#167) | -2.5 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#117) | -0.62 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#134) | -0.64 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#113) | 0.469 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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