Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | LAF -175 BU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -9.7 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -10.0 (-13.0) | 149.6 (-24.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -7.1 (-10.1) | 143.4 (-18.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -9.7 (-12.7) | 148.4 (-23.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -9.8 (-12.8) | 150.0 (-25.0) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | BU 77 – 73 LAF |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BU 83 – 67 LAF |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BU 66 – 64 LAF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LAF 60 – 46 BU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BU 62 – 48 LAF |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.