Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | RID -110 MRST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -2.3 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -1.5 (-10.5) | 135.5 (+7.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -0.5 (-9.5) | 131.3 (+11.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -1.9 (-10.9) | 134.7 (+8.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -1.8 (-10.8) | 135.8 (+7.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRST 81 – 52 RID |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MRST 71 – 49 RID |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RID 64 – 57 MRST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MRST 77 – 62 RID |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-17 | 12-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 1-8 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#284) | -7.0 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#280) | -0.81 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#283) | -1.33 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#252) | 0.460 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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