Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin
Pac-12 Conference · Beasley Coliseum · January 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread COLO -10.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money WSU +500 / COLO -600
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual COLO +11 129 Lost
Massey COLO -12.3 (+1.3) — —
Massey Totals — 134.8 (-5.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 29% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 17% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COLO -9.7 (-1.3) 140.6 (-11.6) 19% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COLO -9.9 (-1.1) 137.3 (-8.3) 20% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COLO -10.3 (-0.7) 141.0 (-12.0) 18% ✓
Baseline ML COLO -9.8 (-1.2) 141.0 (-12.0) 18% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 16, 2024 COLO 58 – 52 WSU
Jan 27, 2024 WSU 78 – 69 COLO
Dec 31, 2023 COLO 74 – 67 WSU
Jan 22, 2023 COLO 58 – 55 WSU
Jan 31, 2022 WSU 70 – 43 COLO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU COLO
Overall 14-13 23-9
Conference 7-12 14-6
Home 11-5 11-1
Away 3-6 6-6
Neutral 0-2 6-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 68.6 73.1
Avg Pts Against 67.4 63.8
Massey 1.4 (#145) 16.5 (#11)
Bradley-Terry 0.73 (#121) 2.11 (#40)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.90 (#125) 3.03 (#38)
RPI 0.511 (#151) 0.625 (#16)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU COLO
FG% 41.1% 45.1%
3PT% 33.7% 34.9%
REB / G 39.0 36.9
OREB / G 10.4 10.8
AST / TO 0.76 1.32
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.8% 51.5%
TOV% 21.0% 15.8%
ORB% 28.3% 32.2%
FT Rate 26.4% 25.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.7% 47.3%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 20.4%
DRB% 72.2% 75.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.3% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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