Betting Lines
| Spread | L-MD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | L-MD -188 AMER +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | L-MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | L-MD -3.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | L-MD -3.5 (-5.5) | 142.9 (+17.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | L-MD -4.0 (-6.0) | 138.1 (+21.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | L-MD -4.9 (-6.9) | 141.3 (+18.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | L-MD -3.2 (-5.2) | 143.0 (+17.0) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | L-MD 77 – 68 AMER |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMER 84 – 69 L-MD |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMER 72 – 51 L-MD |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AMER 73 – 54 L-MD |
| Feb 8, 2024 | L-MD 44 – 43 AMER |
Game Analysis
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