Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | CBU -150 LBSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +21 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -6.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -5.0 (+16.0) | 159.5 (+11.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -5.5 (+15.5) | 156.8 (+14.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -6.3 (+14.7) | 158.3 (+12.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -5.5 (+15.5) | 157.6 (+13.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | LBSU 79 – 64 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 6-12 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 4-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 4-3 |
| Away | 2-5 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#249) | -9.0 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#321) | 0.03 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.11 (#318) | -0.48 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#333) | 0.487 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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