Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | HPU -200 PRES +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +24 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -7.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -4.9 (+19.1) | 128.8 (+9.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -4.3 (+19.7) | 125.4 (+12.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -5.3 (+18.7) | 127.5 (+10.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -4.6 (+19.4) | 129.1 (+8.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | HPU 79 – 73 PRES |
| Jan 30, 2026 | HPU 84 – 81 PRES |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HPU 84 – 72 PRES |
| Jan 19, 2025 | HPU 77 – 66 PRES |
| Feb 4, 2024 | HPU 78 – 68 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-15 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 5-12 |
| Home | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#271) | -10.9 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#310) | -2.20 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.26 (#296) | -3.16 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#309) | 0.379 (#325) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.