I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Big Ten Conference · Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · January 24, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread IU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money IU -188 / RUTG +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total IU win
Actual RUTG +4 144 Lost
Massey IU -6.2 (-10.2) — —
Massey Totals — 138.6 (+5.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML IU -5.3 (-9.3) 138.1 (+5.9) 72% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IU -4.0 (-8.0) 138.6 (+5.4) 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML IU -5.3 (-9.3) 141.7 (+2.3) 71% ✗
Baseline ML IU -5.7 (-9.7) 138.4 (+5.6) 70% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 IU 82 – 59 RUTG
Jan 3, 2025 IU 84 – 74 RUTG
Jan 10, 2024 RUTG 66 – 57 IU
Feb 7, 2023 IU 66 – 60 RUTG
Dec 3, 2022 RUTG 63 – 48 IU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IU RUTG
Overall 12-15 16-12
Conference 7-12 10-10
Home 6-6 10-4
Away 3-7 4-6
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L6 L1
Avg Pts For 69.7 69.2
Avg Pts Against 69.4 67.6
Massey 13.1 (#30) 9.6 (#55)
Bradley-Terry 2.25 (#39) 1.86 (#56)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.33 (#30) 2.90 (#42)
RPI 0.584 (#53) 0.553 (#87)
Shooting & Four Factors IU RUTG
FG% 46.1% 45.9%
3PT% 33.3% 35.3%
REB / G 34.7 36.8
OREB / G 8.0 10.9
AST / TO 1.23 1.44
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 51.2%
TOV% 16.6% 15.1%
ORB% 23.3% 28.9%
FT Rate 26.5% 16.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 18.3%
DRB% 73.6% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 23.8%

Game Analysis

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