Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU +500 WKU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +16 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -11.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -8.3 (-7.7) | 134.7 (-14.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -7.9 (-8.1) | 131.2 (-11.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -9.2 (-6.8) | 136.9 (-16.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -7.7 (-8.3) | 134.7 (-14.7) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | WKU 82 – 80 MTSU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WKU 65 – 60 MTSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MTSU 87 – 77 WKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MTSU 71 – 57 WKU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 85 – 54 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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