Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -145 MTSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +10 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -2.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.7 (-12.7) | 150.3 (+13.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -2.8 (-12.8) | 149.8 (+14.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.7 (-12.7) | 148.2 (+15.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -3.4 (-13.4) | 149.3 (+14.7) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | WKU 82 – 80 MTSU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WKU 65 – 60 MTSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MTSU 71 – 57 WKU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 85 – 54 MTSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MTSU 74 – 72 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#124) | 3.1 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#122) | 1.07 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#135) | 0.97 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#102) | 0.571 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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