Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -170 MTSU +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +2 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -2.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.7 (-0.7) | 143.7 (+18.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -2.4 (-0.4) | 142.8 (+19.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.8 (-0.8) | 140.6 (+21.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -2.6 (-0.6) | 141.7 (+20.3) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WKU 65 – 60 MTSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MTSU 87 – 77 WKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MTSU 71 – 57 WKU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 85 – 54 MTSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MTSU 74 – 72 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#166) | 0.4 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#184) | -0.22 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#179) | -0.26 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#171) | 0.522 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.