Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -175 SCU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -8.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -5.7 (-8.7) | 130.3 (+10.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -5.3 (-8.3) | 133.9 (+7.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -6.3 (-9.3) | 134.0 (+7.0) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -6.7 (-9.7) | 131.1 (+9.9) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | SCU 104 – 73 LMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SCU 103 – 72 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SCU 76 – 61 LMU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | LMU 57 – 54 SCU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SCU 65 – 55 LMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 7-5 | 4-5 |
| Home | 8-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-5 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#114) | -1.7 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#99) | 1.06 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#118) | 0.64 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#106) | 0.564 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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