Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -2000 CP +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +23 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -21.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (-21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -17.3 (+5.7) | 133.5 (-22.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -16.3 (+6.7) | 130.5 (-19.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -18.0 (+5.0) | 132.1 (-21.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -18.5 (+4.5) | 132.2 (-21.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 4-20 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 1-15 |
| Home | 10-1 | 3-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 59.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#110) | -15.0 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#131) | -2.60 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#129) | -3.55 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#139) | 0.358 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 36.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 41.3% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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