Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -1200 UND +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +11 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -15.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -12.5 (-1.5) | 148.6 (+10.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -11.4 (-0.4) | 143.6 (+15.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -14.3 (-3.3) | 147.3 (+11.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -14.1 (-3.1) | 147.6 (+11.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SDST 91 – 83 UND |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UND 90 – 87 SDST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UND 85 – 69 SDST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UND 80 – 75 SDST |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDST 109 – 73 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-7 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-1 | 5-3 |
| Away | 4-2 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#100) | -7.9 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#93) | -1.56 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#121) | -2.32 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#84) | 0.438 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 42.4% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.