Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +200 NEV -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +5 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -2.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -1.3 (+6.3) | 147.2 (+33.8) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -1.7 (+6.7) | 145.9 (+35.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -1.1 (+6.1) | 148.6 (+32.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -1.5 (+6.5) | 147.8 (+33.2) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | WYO 83 – 73 NEV |
| Jan 11, 2026 | NEV 92 – 83 WYO |
| Feb 26, 2025 | NEV 84 – 61 WYO |
| Dec 28, 2024 | WYO 66 – 63 NEV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | NEV 76 – 58 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-2 |
| Away | 4-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#212) | 2.4 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#141) | 0.46 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#153) | 0.56 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#240) | 0.533 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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