Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | GWEB -800 CHSO +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -19.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -15.3 (-3.3) | 140.7 (-4.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -14.8 (-2.8) | 144.6 (-8.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -16.3 (-4.3) | 143.9 (-7.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -16.5 (-4.5) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | CHSO 75 – 66 GWEB |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CHSO 89 – 79 GWEB |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CHSO 79 – 72 GWEB |
| Jan 2, 2025 | CHSO 72 – 63 GWEB |
| Feb 15, 2024 | GWEB 85 – 77 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-15 | 3-18 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-15 |
| Home | 7-4 | 1-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#153) | -15.8 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#263) | -4.45 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#253) | -6.00 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#166) | 0.381 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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