Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -163 SPU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +7 | 87 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -3.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-44.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -2.4 (+4.6) | 133.0 (-46.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -2.8 (+4.2) | 131.6 (-44.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -3.2 (+3.8) | 133.9 (-46.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -2.1 (+4.9) | 132.8 (-45.8) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SIE 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SPU 70 – 65 SIE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIE 77 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SPU 75 – 53 SIE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SPU 63 – 52 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-5 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 61.5 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#144) | 1.1 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#89) | 0.91 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#116) | 1.09 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#59) | 0.588 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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