Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -200 OSU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +12 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -4.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -4.3 (-16.3) | 135.7 (+0.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.7 (-14.7) | 134.9 (+1.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -4.9 (-16.9) | 137.2 (-1.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -4.5 (-16.5) | 137.5 (-1.5) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OSU 86 – 69 WIS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WIS 92 – 82 OSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIS 70 – 68 OSU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | WIS 62 – 54 OSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WIS 71 – 60 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 21-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#17) | 14.1 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#16) | 2.68 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.28 (#13) | 4.12 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#24) | 0.612 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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