Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -218 OSU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +10 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -1.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -3.9 (+6.1) | 155.1 (+18.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -3.5 (+6.5) | 154.2 (+19.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -3.3 (+6.7) | 155.6 (+18.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -2.8 (+7.2) | 155.9 (+18.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OSU 86 – 69 WIS |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIS 70 – 68 OSU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | WIS 62 – 54 OSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WIS 71 – 60 OSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | OSU 65 – 57 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#43) | 14.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#39) | 2.19 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#42) | 3.01 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#50) | 0.585 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.