Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | WIS +113 OSU -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +8 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -2.2 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -0.2 (-8.2) | 127.5 (-5.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.2 (-7.8) | 130.5 (-8.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.6 (-7.4) | 132.0 (-10.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -0.8 (-7.2) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OSU 86 – 69 WIS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WIS 92 – 82 OSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIS 70 – 68 OSU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | WIS 62 – 54 OSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WIS 71 – 60 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 16-19 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#76) | 10.1 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#56) | 0.82 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#52) | 1.48 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#85) | 0.499 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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