I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Wisconsin Badgers
57 – 65
FINAL Neutral Conference Big Ten
Ohio State Buckeyes
Big Ten Conference · United Center (Neutral) · March 8, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -1.0 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Under
Money WIS +113 / OSU -133
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual OSU +8 122 Lost
Massey OSU -2.2 (-5.8) — —
Massey Totals — 130.9 (-8.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✗
Baseline Plus ML OSU -1.4 (-6.6) 132.2 (-10.2) 46% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OSU -1.0 (-7.0) 128.0 (-6.0) 46% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -1.1 (-6.9) 132.5 (-10.5) 47% ✓
Baseline ML OSU -1.1 (-6.9) 133.5 (-11.5) 43% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 18, 2026 OSU 86 – 69 WIS
Jan 31, 2026 WIS 92 – 82 OSU
Jan 15, 2025 WIS 70 – 68 OSU
Feb 14, 2024 WIS 62 – 54 OSU
Jan 11, 2024 WIS 71 – 60 OSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS OSU
Overall 20-15 16-19
Conference 9-11 5-15
Home 11-6 10-6
Away 6-6 1-10
Neutral 3-3 5-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.3 72.5
Avg Pts Against 63.6 69.0
Massey 7.9 (#76) 10.1 (#47)
Bradley-Terry 1.63 (#56) 0.82 (#102)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.16 (#52) 1.48 (#79)
RPI 0.549 (#85) 0.499 (#180)
Shooting & Four Factors WIS OSU
FG% 41.7% 46.1%
3PT% 35.5% 35.8%
REB / G 31.2 36.5
OREB / G 7.7 11.0
AST / TO 1.36 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.9% 51.7%
TOV% 13.4% 16.3%
ORB% 21.9% 32.2%
FT Rate 16.1% 19.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 16.0%
DRB% 74.7% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 18.9% 19.9%

Game Analysis

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