Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -280 OSU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -4.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -5.8 (-3.8) | 152.8 (-14.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -5.4 (-3.4) | 150.2 (-12.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.1 (-3.1) | 151.1 (-13.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.4 (-3.4) | 153.9 (-15.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OSU 86 – 69 WIS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WIS 92 – 82 OSU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | WIS 62 – 54 OSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WIS 71 – 60 OSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | OSU 65 – 57 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#24) | 15.1 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#22) | 2.06 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.33 (#18) | 3.12 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#23) | 0.587 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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