Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -450 OSU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +8 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -7.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -7.6 (+0.4) | 140.0 (-24.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -7.6 (+0.4) | 143.6 (-27.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -6.6 (+1.4) | 144.5 (-28.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -7.7 (+0.3) | 143.8 (-27.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OSU 86 – 69 WIS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WIS 92 – 82 OSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIS 70 – 68 OSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WIS 71 – 60 OSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | OSU 65 – 57 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 13.3 (#28) | 8.9 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#30) | 1.15 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#24) | 1.65 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#23) | 0.541 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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