Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -155 WIS +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +11 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -1.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -1.9 (-12.9) | 138.4 (-7.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -1.6 (-12.6) | 141.8 (-10.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.0 (-13.0) | 142.2 (-11.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.0 (-13.0) | 140.7 (-9.7) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | OSU 86 – 69 WIS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WIS 92 – 82 OSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIS 70 – 68 OSU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | WIS 62 – 54 OSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | OSU 65 – 57 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 11.5 (#42) | 14.7 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#63) | 2.68 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#52) | 3.56 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#51) | 0.634 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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