Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -115 WIS -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +17 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -1.9 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -1.0 (+16.0) | 157.6 (-2.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -2.0 (+15.0) | 160.5 (-5.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -1.9 (+15.1) | 157.7 (-2.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -1.9 (+15.1) | 157.5 (-2.5) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WIS 92 – 82 OSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIS 70 – 68 OSU |
| Feb 14, 2024 | WIS 62 – 54 OSU |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WIS 71 – 60 OSU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | OSU 65 – 57 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#41) | 15.1 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#44) | 2.88 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#42) | 3.62 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#61) | 0.601 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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