Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -450 MSST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -16.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -13.2 (-5.2) | 150.6 (+3.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -11.6 (-3.6) | 148.9 (+5.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -13.1 (-5.1) | 146.8 (+7.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -13.4 (-5.4) | 150.2 (+3.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ALA 100 – 75 MSST |
| Jan 14, 2026 | ALA 97 – 82 MSST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | ALA 111 – 73 MSST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ALA 88 – 84 MSST |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ALA 99 – 67 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-7 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-1 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 18.1 (#7) | 4.9 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.87 (#17) | 0.87 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.95 (#19) | 1.68 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#7) | 0.515 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 37.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.