Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -150 MILW +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +1 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -2.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.5 (+29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -2.6 (-3.6) | 132.0 (+29.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -3.2 (-4.2) | 130.3 (+30.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -2.1 (-3.1) | 134.6 (+26.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -2.7 (-3.7) | 133.5 (+27.5) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 10-12 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 7-10 |
| Home | 9-2 | 4-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#206) | -1.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#103) | -0.85 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#141) | -1.09 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#30) | 0.421 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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