Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | ULM +210 TXST -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +10 | 104 | Lost |
| Massey | TXST -6.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -5.6 (-4.4) | 132.4 (-28.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -4.2 (-5.8) | 129.1 (-25.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -3.4 (-6.6) | 132.0 (-28.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -4.9 (-5.1) | 134.2 (-30.2) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXST 95 – 84 ULM |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TXST 84 – 79 ULM |
| Feb 20, 2025 | TXST 80 – 63 ULM |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TXST 72 – 60 ULM |
| Feb 28, 2024 | TXST 73 – 55 ULM |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.