Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO +180 EWU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -3.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -0.2 (-6.2) | 144.6 (+13.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -0.9 (-5.1) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -1.5 (-4.5) | 146.1 (+11.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -1.1 (-4.9) | 145.9 (+12.1) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EWU 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNCO 95 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCO 67 – 62 EWU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | EWU 85 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-11 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 12-3 |
| Home | 6-5 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#236) | 1.9 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#249) | -0.91 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#273) | -1.00 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#246) | 0.503 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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