Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MTSU +500 WKU -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +15 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -10.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -7.5 (-7.5) | 132.9 (+16.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -7.7 (-7.3) | 131.3 (+17.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -8.5 (-6.5) | 135.9 (+13.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -7.0 (-8.0) | 133.9 (+15.1) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | WKU 82 – 80 MTSU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | WKU 65 – 60 MTSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MTSU 87 – 77 WKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MTSU 71 – 57 WKU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | WKU 85 – 54 MTSU |
Game Analysis
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