Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | FSU -250 CLEM +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FSU +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FSU -7.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -6.3 (+12.7) | 140.2 (+0.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -5.5 (+13.5) | 135.6 (+5.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -5.5 (+13.5) | 138.4 (+2.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -6.0 (+13.0) | 140.6 (+0.4) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FSU 70 – 65 CLEM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 46 FSU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLEM 77 – 57 FSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | CLEM 74 – 63 FSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLEM 78 – 67 FSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-7 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 61.9 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#25) | 9.8 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#23) | 2.78 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#27) | 3.75 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#18) | 0.644 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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