Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LAF -250 BU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -14.3 (-19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -13.3 (-18.3) | 149.7 (+7.3) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -10.7 (-15.7) | 147.3 (+9.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -12.7 (-17.7) | 148.8 (+8.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -12.8 (-17.8) | 150.4 (+6.6) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | BU 77 – 73 LAF |
| Jan 8, 2026 | BU 83 – 67 LAF |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BU 66 – 64 LAF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | LAF 60 – 46 BU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BU 62 – 48 LAF |
Game Analysis
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