Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -120 NKU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | RMU -4.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -3.0 (-8.0) | 138.7 (+18.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -1.9 (-6.9) | 135.5 (+21.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -2.5 (-7.5) | 139.3 (+17.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -2.9 (-7.9) | 139.7 (+17.3) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | RMU 92 – 89 NKU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NKU 79 – 77 RMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RMU 81 – 76 NKU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | RMU 97 – 93 NKU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | NKU 70 – 60 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-15 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 3-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#247) | -6.1 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#245) | -1.17 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#251) | -1.83 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#189) | 0.439 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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