Rhonda had a house in Venice, lived on brown rice and cocaine. "88 Lines About 44 Women" - The Nails
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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92–28 on winners spread MAE 8.7 120 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Villanova @ Georgetown -9.2 142.2 18% 70–54 ✓
VCU @ Saint Louis -5.8 143.5 28% 95–85 ✓
Siena @ Saint Peter's +11.1 127.2 86% 53–75 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider +0.1 148.1 48% 57–61 ✓
Manhattan @ Iona +11.6 144.6 87% 63–73 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +5.8 147.0 73% 65–63 ✗
Canisius @ Marist +4.5 132.6 70% 55–78 ✓
Dartmouth @ Columbia +10.8 132.5 87% 63–73 ✓
Yale @ Pennsylvania -5.4 140.8 26% 76–62 ✓
Brown @ Princeton +15.0 142.2 87% 63–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ Queens University +1.9 147.1 61% 65–74 ✓
North Florida @ Kennesaw State +2.2 159.1 62% 82–81 ✗
Ohio @ Toledo +5.6 159.9 76% 83–85 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +3.9 149.1 69% 70–81 ✓
Texas Tech @ Iowa State +8.2 138.8 79% 74–82 ✓
Texas A&M @ Alabama +12.8 158.3 86% 75–100 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia +1.9 128.8 60% 47–49 ✓
TCU @ Kansas State -1.3 145.1 46% 75–72 ✓
Penn State @ Nebraska +6.6 148.3 75% 49–68 ✓
Creighton @ Butler -1.1 154.8 48% 79–57 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington -4.5 145.7 30% 90–74 ✓
Texas @ Houston +11.6 135.1 87% 61–82 ✓
Navy @ Boston University +3.8 130.2 65% 65–74 ✓
Florida @ Georgia -1.9 156.6 44% 88–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson +4.7 143.4 68% 74–93 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel +11.8 143.8 87% 51–76 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +7.1 160.6 78% 71–101 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy -11.1 146.7 15% 83–69 ✓
UAlbany @ UMBC +0.2 166.3 52% 75–80 ✓
Fordham @ Dayton +16.6 139.9 90% 70–78 ✓
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina +11.0 152.9 84% 81–96 ✓
Duke @ Florida State -3.6 150.2 35% 76–67 ✓
BYU @ Oklahoma State -9.6 146.3 19% 83–93 ✗
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +10.5 142.3 86% 74–82 ✓
Longwood @ Presbyterian -1.6 142.3 45% 81–73 ✓
Towson @ Hampton -11.6 133.3 14% 61–67 ✗
Northeastern @ Hofstra +7.2 139.8 80% 62–82 ✓
Delaware @ North Carolina A&T -11.3 140.0 15% 62–54 ✓
Campbell @ Drexel +10.5 134.5 85% 66–81 ✓
Army @ Holy Cross -2.3 128.5 38% 59–53 ✓
Arkansas @ Mississippi State +11.8 145.3 87% 67–71 ✓
Massachusetts @ La Salle -5.9 150.4 29% 81–82 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh +8.0 137.2 79% 70–75 ✓
Bucknell @ Colgate +12.1 134.1 87% 50–62 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson +5.3 141.5 74% 60–61 ✓
Stonehill @ Le Moyne +10.1 140.5 85% 67–75 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Kent State +6.7 145.1 76% 47–85 ✓
Akron @ Buffalo -15.1 137.4 13% 73–62 ✓
Samford @ Mercer -10.4 146.6 18% 84–88 ✗
Marshall @ Coastal Carolina -2.4 151.1 41% 67–74 ✗
Wisconsin @ Iowa +1.3 150.7 55% 86–88 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Duquesne +2.9 143.7 66% 56–66 ✓
Marquette @ UConn +7.9 146.6 76% 53–81 ✓
Rice @ Tulsa +3.9 144.5 68% 82–93 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +11.9 134.6 86% 57–80 ✓
Long Island University @ Merrimack +11.7 135.8 87% 68–83 ✓
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State -1.4 148.0 45% 73–81 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Oakland +19.3 147.4 91% 59–107 ✓
Vermont @ Maine -3.9 126.4 30% 68–57 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +7.8 146.4 79% 63–62 ✗
Florida International @ Louisiana Tech +15.8 138.2 90% 68–75 ✓
New Mexico State @ Western Kentucky +10.5 145.9 85% 58–72 ✓
LSU @ South Carolina +6.0 143.1 75% 64–63 ✗
Davidson @ St. Bonaventure +6.0 136.0 73% 80–81 ✓
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan -4.4 145.4 30% 60–69 ✗
Ball State @ Miami (OH) +2.2 139.8 60% 59–80 ✓
Binghamton @ NJIT -0.4 136.8 47% 69–55 ✓
Texas State @ Southern Miss +2.8 130.4 62% 74–78 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma +1.5 139.0 57% 67–57 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Howard +0.6 141.5 57% 82–90 ✓
Miami @ Boston College +2.4 146.2 60% 77–85 ✓
Cincinnati @ UCF +1.1 135.7 53% 76–74 ✗
Stony Brook @ Monmouth +2.9 145.6 66% 61–84 ✓
Lafayette @ American University +5.1 130.8 69% 68–62 ✗
South Carolina State @ Norfolk State +6.6 137.2 76% 67–71 ✓
Delaware State @ Coppin State -6.5 130.7 23% 66–56 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Wagner +2.3 132.5 62% 63–53 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina +7.4 138.0 78% 65–70 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Little Rock +9.1 144.9 83% 62–80 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bryant +2.5 150.8 66% 86–77 ✗
North Dakota State @ Denver +3.5 159.5 66% 71–77 ✓
McNeese @ Nicholls -11.1 143.7 17% 74–47 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State +2.1 144.6 61% 54–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara +1.0 140.7 59% 71–77 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Morgan State +2.9 143.1 64% 65–70 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate -0.2 144.8 49% 73–65 ✓
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +11.0 142.9 87% 55–86 ✓
Western Illinois @ Tennessee State +0.4 130.2 52% 68–61 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville +10.6 139.4 86% 76–80 ✓
Morehead State @ UT Martin -2.1 143.7 41% 82–88 ✗
Lindenwood @ Eastern Illinois +7.2 131.0 79% 57–72 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama -1.4 153.0 44% 76–73 ✓
Louisiana @ App State +6.6 142.4 73% 73–85 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +10.1 135.1 85% 63–86 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +11.3 141.2 88% 78–81 ✓
Lipscomb @ Central Arkansas -7.5 152.6 21% 85–68 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Davis +4.6 137.9 69% 67–61 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State -5.8 142.9 25% 80–75 ✓
Idaho State @ Idaho +0.3 139.6 50% 53–55 ✓
Weber State @ Eastern Washington +3.3 145.3 68% 90–84 ✗
Illinois @ Maryland -1.5 138.1 43% 85–80 ✓
Syracuse @ Georgia Tech -0.9 145.9 51% 60–65 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +6.8 143.7 76% 80–74 ✗
UL Monroe @ Troy +10.3 145.9 87% 57–85 ✓
Lamar @ New Orleans -6.6 155.2 25% 94–72 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +4.1 143.3 70% 55–75 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee +20.4 144.4 91% 53–88 ✓
Baylor @ West Virginia -10.8 146.0 15% 94–81 ✓
Kentucky @ Auburn +9.9 168.8 82% 70–59 ✗
Stanford @ Washington State +9.3 146.1 82% 59–72 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern +3.9 132.0 67% 66–63 ✗
Dartmouth @ Cornell +15.2 140.3 90% 80–89 ✓
Harvard @ Columbia +3.0 141.4 67% 80–75 ✗
Georgia Southern @ James Madison +18.6 153.6 91% 80–87 ✓
Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word +3.4 142.7 65% 81–61 ✗
Brown @ Pennsylvania +5.0 140.1 69% 71–64 ✗
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee -2.3 133.6 43% 90–96 ✗
Louisville @ Pittsburgh +13.1 145.5 88% 59–86 ✓
Southern @ Prairie View A&M -3.2 139.9 37% 77–71 ✓
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +8.0 141.7 79% 55–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.