Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | NICH +700 MCN -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +27 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -10.7 (-16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -8.3 (-18.7) | 141.4 (-20.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -11.1 (-15.9) | 143.7 (-22.7) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -11.7 (-15.3) | 144.1 (-23.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -12.8 (-14.2) | 143.2 (-22.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MCN 80 – 71 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MCN 92 – 76 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 30-4 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 17-1 |
| Home | 10-2 | 18-0 |
| Away | 8-10 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 64.8 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#268) | 8.8 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#229) | 1.77 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#253) | 2.42 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#204) | 0.578 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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