Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -2500 NICH +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -15.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -13.6 (-4.6) | 139.7 (+11.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -15.4 (-6.4) | 139.6 (+11.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -13.1 (-4.1) | 140.3 (+10.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -12.8 (-3.8) | 140.3 (+10.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MCN 92 – 76 NICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MCN 83 – 62 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 10-2 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#64) | -2.8 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#91) | -0.01 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#88) | -0.35 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#75) | 0.492 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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