Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -2500 NICH +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +16 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -16.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -14.8 (+1.2) | 139.9 (+28.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -13.9 (+2.1) | 141.1 (+26.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -14.2 (+1.8) | 140.2 (+27.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -14.1 (+1.9) | 138.1 (+29.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MCN 80 – 71 NICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MCN 83 – 62 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 13-5 |
| Home | 18-0 | 10-2 |
| Away | 11-3 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#68) | -4.4 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#44) | -0.31 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#39) | -0.64 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#32) | 0.514 (#143) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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