Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -120 UML +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +9 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -2.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -0.4 (-9.4) | 154.3 (+8.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -2.5 (-11.5) | 150.8 (+12.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.6 (-10.6) | 152.4 (+10.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.5 (-10.5) | 154.0 (+9.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UML 88 – 69 BRY |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UML 77 – 63 BRY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRY 79 – 78 UML |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BRY 85 – 62 UML |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UML 77 – 70 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 11-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-10 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#160) | 1.2 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#128) | 0.21 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#135) | 0.15 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#115) | 0.509 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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