Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | CLE +150 YSU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -2.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -2.3 (+10.3) | 149.2 (+4.8) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -1.4 (+9.4) | 148.0 (+6.0) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.2 (+10.2) | 148.5 (+5.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -1.8 (+9.8) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#201) | 3.9 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#187) | 0.27 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#209) | 0.50 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#173) | 0.520 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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