Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WVU +240 BAY -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +13 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -13.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -11.2 (-1.8) | 144.6 (+30.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -10.8 (-2.2) | 146.0 (+29.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -11.8 (-1.2) | 145.5 (+29.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -11.1 (-1.9) | 145.0 (+30.0) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BAY 63 – 53 WVU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BAY 74 – 71 WVU |
| Feb 14, 2023 | BAY 79 – 67 WVU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | BAY 83 – 78 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | BAY 81 – 77 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-9 | 15-2 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#151) | 17.3 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#172) | 2.43 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#153) | 3.03 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#188) | 0.617 (#15) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 41.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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