Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -15.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -13.9 (-9.9) | 137.1 (+20.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -12.5 (-8.5) | 137.9 (+20.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -13.3 (-9.3) | 139.5 (+18.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -13.8 (-9.8) | 139.4 (+18.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BAY 63 – 53 WVU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BAY 74 – 71 WVU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BAY 94 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 14, 2023 | BAY 79 – 67 WVU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | BAY 83 – 78 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-3 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 20.6 (#4) | 8.1 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.57 (#4) | 2.05 (#42) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.60 (#3) | 2.48 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#19) | 0.586 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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