Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -155 BAY +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +10 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -1.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -2.0 (-12.0) | 139.0 (-23.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -2.7 (-12.7) | 137.9 (-21.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -1.8 (-11.8) | 136.9 (-20.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -2.1 (-12.1) | 138.8 (-22.8) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | BAY 74 – 71 WVU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BAY 94 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 14, 2023 | BAY 79 – 67 WVU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | BAY 83 – 78 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | BAY 81 – 77 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#66) | 11.5 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#59) | 1.39 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#57) | 2.16 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#83) | 0.533 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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