Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BAY -425 WVU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +3 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -7.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -8.3 (-5.3) | 136.0 (+9.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -5.8 (-2.8) | 137.1 (+7.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -5.7 (-2.7) | 137.7 (+7.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -6.4 (-3.4) | 137.7 (+7.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BAY 63 – 53 WVU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BAY 94 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 14, 2023 | BAY 79 – 67 WVU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | BAY 83 – 78 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | BAY 81 – 77 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#21) | 13.2 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#38) | 1.98 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#40) | 2.35 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#33) | 0.572 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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