Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
Baylor Bears
74 – 71 OT
FINAL Conference
West Virginia Mountaineers
Big 12 Conference · Foster Pavilion · February 15, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BAY -9.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Over
Money BAY -425 / WVU +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total BAY win
Actual BAY +3 145 Won
Massey BAY -7.0 (-4.0) — —
Massey Totals — 138.1 (+6.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BAY -6.4 (-3.4) 137.7 (+7.3) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BAY -8.3 (-5.3) 136.0 (+9.0) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BAY -5.8 (-2.8) 137.1 (+7.9) 73% ✓
Baseline ML BAY -5.7 (-2.7) 137.7 (+7.3) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 BAY 63 – 53 WVU
Feb 17, 2024 BAY 94 – 81 WVU
Feb 14, 2023 BAY 79 – 67 WVU
Jan 12, 2023 BAY 83 – 78 WVU
Feb 1, 2022 BAY 81 – 77 WVU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BAY WVU
Overall 20-15 19-13
Conference 10-10 10-10
Home 13-3 13-4
Away 3-9 4-7
Neutral 4-3 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 68.2
Avg Pts Against 70.3 64.8
Massey 17.0 (#21) 13.2 (#39)
Bradley-Terry 2.28 (#38) 1.98 (#49)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.92 (#40) 2.35 (#52)
RPI 0.600 (#33) 0.572 (#57)
Shooting & Four Factors BAY WVU
FG% 46.0% 43.1%
3PT% 36.4% 33.1%
REB / G 34.6 33.0
OREB / G 12.4 8.8
AST / TO 1.35 1.31
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 50.8%
TOV% 16.3% 16.0%
ORB% 36.1% 25.6%
FT Rate 22.6% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 45.7%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 20.0%
DRB% 68.7% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 22.8%

Game Analysis

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