Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | WVU -4.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -4.3 (-9.3) | 152.0 (+9.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -3.5 (-8.5) | 149.0 (+12.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -3.7 (-8.7) | 153.6 (+7.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -3.8 (-8.8) | 153.4 (+7.6) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BAY 63 – 53 WVU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BAY 74 – 71 WVU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BAY 94 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 14, 2023 | BAY 79 – 67 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | BAY 81 – 77 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#21) | 12.7 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#38) | 2.12 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.03 (#24) | 2.67 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#27) | 0.586 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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