Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BAY -300 WVU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -6.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -7.0 (+5.0) | 149.9 (-3.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -7.0 (+5.0) | 153.1 (-7.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -7.1 (+4.9) | 152.3 (-6.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -6.7 (+5.3) | 152.9 (-6.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | BAY 63 – 53 WVU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BAY 74 – 71 WVU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BAY 94 – 81 WVU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | BAY 83 – 78 WVU |
| Feb 1, 2022 | BAY 81 – 77 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#11) | 13.2 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#7) | 2.02 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#8) | 2.82 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#9) | 0.587 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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