Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -275 UNM +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -2.3 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -4.4 (+6.6) | 149.2 (+1.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -3.9 (+7.1) | 149.1 (+1.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -3.1 (+7.9) | 150.0 (+1.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -3.5 (+7.5) | 151.7 (-0.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SDSU 64 – 62 UNM |
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNM 81 – 76 SDSU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SDSU 83 – 79 UNM |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SDSU 73 – 65 UNM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNM 62 – 48 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#21) | 15.0 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#15) | 2.32 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#12) | 2.65 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.649 (#4) | 0.617 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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